THE 450 POINTS CHASE: WHO’S LEFT AND WHO’S BEEN ELIMINATED HEADING TO WASHOUGAL

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flyinRoczenKen Roczen (94) has a one moto lead over everyone except Ryan Dungey, who is  24 points behind.

Since the AMA pays 25 points per moto win (which adds up to 50 points for a 1-1 day), you can simply count how many points behind the chasers are from the points leader or, as the season progresses, you can start to count how many motos the top 15 riders are behind (which then leads to how many complete races they trail the leader). For example, Ken Roczen has 367 points and Ryan Dungey is 24 points behind Kenny at 343. That means that Ken and Ryan are still racing in the same moto. If Kenny has a bad moto and DNF’s at Washougal, he will be one point behind Ryan Dungey (assuming Dungey wins the same moto). With this mathematical concept in hand, let’s list how many motos the major contenders trail Ken Roczen in the 450 Nationals (with 4 races to go — or 200 points to go). Anyone more than 200 points behind is mathematically eliminated from the title chase.

ON THE SAME MOTO (within 25 points)

1. Ken Roczen…………….367
2. Ryan Dungey………….-24

ONE MOTO BEHIND (within 50 points)

No one

T_canardTrey Canard is two motos (50 points) plus 16 extra points behind Roczen.

TWO MOTOS BEHIND (within 75 points)

3. Trey Canard………….-66

THREE MOTOS BEHIND (within 100 points)

No one

FOUR MOTOS BEHIND (within 125 points)

No one

STEWARTGOOJames Stewart’s 2014 title chase turned into a train wreck in the last five weekends.

FIVE MOTOS BEHIND (within 150 points)

4. James Stewart……….-141
5. Brett Metcalfe………..-145
6. Josh Grant…………….-149

SIX MOTOS BEHIND (within 175 points)

No one

flyinTomacThe big winner of the 2014 AMA 450 National season, among those who are on the verge of being eliminated, is Eli Tomac. Mathematically, he can’t afford to lose even a single point, but mentally he’s the man on the move…albeit for 2015.

SEVEN MOTOS BEHIND (within  200 points)

7. Weston Peick…………-179
8. Andrew Short………..-180
9. Eli Tomac……………..-199

Chad-Reed_1.jpgChad Reed is 221 points behind Ken Roczen and there are only 200 points left to win.

EIGHT MOTOS BEHIND (within 225 points)

10. Chad Reed…………….-221

NINE MOTOS BEHIND (within 250 points)

11. Malcolm Stewart…….-239

TEN MOTOS BEHIND (within 275 points)

12. Fredrik Noren………..-258
13. Phil Nicoletti………….-262
14. Matt Goerke…………..-268
15. Ben Lamy……………….-271

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